Ramblings of an old Doc

 

This one really caught my eye. It seems that one of the original designers of the PC thinks the answer is “Yes.”

The engineer who thinks so is none less that IBM’s Middle East and Africa’s CTO, Mark Dean. He was one of the magic twelve who designed IBM’s PC

thirty years ago.

“PCs are being replaced at the center of computing not by another type of device — though there’s plenty of excitement about smartphones and tablets — but by new ideas about the role that computing can play in progress. These days, it’s becoming clear that innovation flourishes best not on devices but in the social spaces between them, where people and ideas meet and interact. It is there that computing can have the most powerful impact on economy, society and people’s lives.” -  Mark Dean

He himself states he rarely sits plunked down at his desk in front of a box and here’s where he really sheds some light on his feeling:

“I, personally, have moved beyond the PC as well. My primary computer now is a tablet. When I helped design the PC, I didn’t think I’d live long enough to witness its decline. But, while PCs will continue to be much-used devices, they’re no longer at the leading edge of computing. They’re going the way of the vacuum tube, typewriter, vinyl records, CRT and incandescent light bulbs.” – Ibid

I echo this. I never thought I’d use one a Pad. I chided Island Dog (who I hope is laughing heartily at my hubris). I now use it all the time, as it’s my favorite reader. In the past, I never thought I’d use a laptop nor a smart phone. Guess what.

The fact is, that our gadget horizon has expanded radically, and portability is a super must, along with vertical and horizontal integration for business/productivity as well as social networking, and entertainment. Being a Luddite won’t gain you a thing. There are many advantages (and some disadvantages) to these new platforms.

Our tech is revolutionizing our culture. No one can deny this after watching the Middle East upheavals and the London riots.

I’d like to see more ‘real’ contact between people as opposed to ‘virtual’ but face it, distances are still real.

That’s why this Community is so important and why WinCustomize is our hub.

My personal feeling is that skinning needs to be more relevant to this new world as well. I feel Stardock’s apps have to infiltrate the business and social worlds even more strongly despite Windows 7 and because of the coming Windows 8.

Windows XP is still very prevalent in the business world, but that will start declining in the near future. Wallpapers need to include mobile/pad sizes. There needs to be a miniWB for smart phones and Windows pads, as well as skinned app-tiles to defeat the horrendous “Metro” monocolored rectangles.

Since Windows 8 will have a choice (we believe) of task bar or Metro, then both these should be addressed…. and the female market should  be addressed.

What are your thoughts?

 

Source:  http://www.techrepublic.com/blog/hiner/engineer-of-original-ibm-pc-declares-end-of-pc-era/8924?tag=nl.e101


Comments (Page 4)
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on Aug 14, 2011

I never blindly follow everywhere Technology leads--    I actually look forward to using my PC when I get free time and find it relaxing and unwinding for me to chill out at my PC at the end of the day with a nice cup of coffee--     I don't care for travel type gizmos like i-pods,etc., because when I'm out, if im not at work, I'm hiking in nature or shopping- with no time to mess with small gizmos like i-pads,etc.    Heck, i'm even one of those type of people who keep my cellphone constantly turned off until I want to use it- then I turn it right off again.   

 

When I'm home, I look forward to my stationary PC where I can unwind-- and I love a nice big screen monitor to decorate with awesome wallpapers.  My computer is like an otherwordly portal for me,  so if it goes by the way of the dinasours, I'll be one of them who continues to use it with pleasure.

 

By the way- speaking of incandescent lightbulbs--  I also refuse to part with my 30 and 40 watt bulbs- especially those 'Reveal" bulbs that give off natural light that resembles the sunlight spectrum. I made sure to stock up on those as I hate the light that the new flourescent bulbs give off-  too cold and stark for my home atmosphere and too depressing a light for light deprived parts of the Country-- such as where I live in the East Coast.   I use the new flourescent bulbs in areas like my basement and attic- not my bedroom , bathroom or living areas.   They will be doing away with the 60 watt and higher bulbs by 2012, and by 2014, they will be discontinuing all of the 30-40 watt bulbs-- so get them now while you  can!      Another alternative I like to the incandescent bulbs are those full spectrum 27 watt flourescent bulbs that also mimic the same spectrum as sunlight.  I hope they won't be discontinuing those.

on Aug 14, 2011

I remember back in the 90's when thin clients were going to replace the PC.  20 years later, I tend to think they were wrong.

on Aug 14, 2011

boldyloxx
especially those 'Reveal" bulbs that give off natural light that resembles the sunlight spectrum

great bulbs and they make them in fluorescent now a days as well.

on Aug 15, 2011

DrJBHL
But then, DOS and the Commodore 64 don't look much or do as much as today's Windows7 and desktops....

On the topic of "famous bloopers of all time", I once remarked to a fellow engineer back in the early 90s that the reason Windows would never take off (this was just before and then during Windows 3) was that no one needed to do more than one thing at once!  Of course I said that with 4 computers in my office (in my defense, that was 2 Macs and 2 DOS on 2 Networks).

We do live in interesting times.  What I learned from my blooper is to never say never!

on Aug 15, 2011
Interesting read. Here I am, writing a forum reply on my iPad while my high-end PC I built two years ago (still quite powerful) is gathering dust. I do use the computer for heavier gaming needs, but I use the pad a whole lot more. Having small kids and sitting quietly at a desk don't mix too well..
on Aug 15, 2011

I don't understand why people use the iPad when the iPad is crippled on the net because it will not play flash.

on Aug 15, 2011

"We don't need no steeenkin' Flash".

The convenience waaaaaay exceeds the lack of Flash. 

on Aug 15, 2011

Most of the sites I visit use flash. iPad can't even play Youtube videos.

on Aug 15, 2011

I actually think it can, since most videos on Youtube also come in mp4 format. But I sort of understand what you mean, I make web shows for a living, all in flv format, and spend a lot of time on Kongregate. Kongregate also being the place where you can find, for free, games older than Angry Birds that are a lot better.

on Aug 16, 2011

Youtube videos show fine. I just placed my tablet on the desk to show them while I write this on my laptop. A good keyboard is still a good keyboard.

Now if Stardock forums moved to flash, then I'd have to reconsider

Personally I think flash will be outdated faster than tablets.

on Aug 16, 2011

Doubt it. Facebook games use flash. Facebook will find a way to keep flash going.

on Aug 16, 2011

I think the PC will become something used more by professionals who need variable components, custom configurations and more power/storage.

A tablet will not replace a large display need or the need for increased computing power.

Imagine developing your software  "in the cloud" where you trust your provider to safeguard your patents and copyrights and not to leak your ideas  out to others. Not gonna happen.

You get your email or Facebook hacked its a pain--you lose years of work and all the future profits of years of work its a whole other problem.

Of course, software companies would love for you to simply rent their software with an annual or per-use fee and they'd love to move you to the cloud.

 

on Aug 16, 2011

kona0197
I don't understand why people use the iPad when the iPad is crippled on the net because it will not play flash.

http://www.macnn.com/articles/11/05/02/hulu.blocked.facebook.most.popular.destination/

http://www.gamezebo.com/news/2011/06/01/iswifter-30-brings-facebook-gaming-ipad

Skyfire and Frash are other apps which make games compatible with the iPad. Basically, Apple didn't want Flash on the iPad because it used the battery much faster than a good mobile platform designed for more modest entertainment purposes as well as productivity purposes. Something had to be sacrificed. It was Flash.

So, iSwifter did the server side of the games and 'streams' them to the iPad. Not perfect, but allows modest speeds.

Like most things, it's a trade off. If you need a mobile platform principally for games, go a different direction... use a laptop. Not being a game player (apart from "Bejeweled" when bored in an office waiting for an appointment with nothing more productive to do).

on Aug 16, 2011

Vallu751
Interesting read. Here I am, writing a forum reply on my iPad while my high-end PC I built two years ago (still quite powerful) is gathering dust. I do use the computer for heavier gaming needs, but I use the pad a whole lot more. Having small kids and sitting quietly at a desk don't mix too well..

having kids ( multiple and writing on a tablet doesn´t seem that easy to me aswell ) you need both hands to use the tablet one for holding it and the other for typing ether way you have to pay your whole attention to the puter its just that your moble and can sit ( maybee outside ).
To me the whole iphone ipad Ipod tablet thing is just a big fancy show where you can demonstrate your fancy stuff off.
The thing is and thats kinda sad that over 65% of the users dont even use half of the applications that come with these things.

Its like hey look at me I have an Ipad may i join the club ? 
What do you use it for ? 
I dont know but it looks damn cool holding it this way

on Aug 16, 2011

My PC area was nicknamed 'The Bat Cave' by my daughter-in-law [because it's dark and under the house] and that's where all my PC stuff takes place.  I have no need for portable devices, largely because I'm concentrating too much on walking/remaining upright on my feet, etc.  I'm not away from home that much these days anyhow [mobility isn't the greatest anymore], so they'd be just expensive toys that got very little use.

No, these devices are not going to replace my PC any time soon.  I do have a netbook [only because I got it cheap (199 AUD)] but even that never goes out anywhere with me [for the above reason... don't wanna trip over my own feet due to a technological distraction. ]   Nah, it's used more as a network 'connector' while in upstairs or in bed or something.... given it can access the main PC's and share files with my Netgear Stora, which basically is a network enabled external drive bay.

And I don't go for all this smartphone stuff, either.  I have a $29.95 Nokia on a 29 buck plan that lasts me a year.  It sends and receives calls and texts... and ALL I need.  I could also use it as a MP3 player and radio, but I don't even bother with that.  Same thing goes - technological distractions - and it'd be my luck to get run over by a bus because I didn't hear it coming over the sound of some wailing blues guitar.

I'm comfortable with the technology I have [read, the learning curve is too steep with some of this new fangled stuff] and it serves all my needs [read that my needs aren't that great these days and I don't want to develop any more].

Yeah, I know, I'm a dinosaur, and like the dinosaur I will become extinct if I do not evolve... yeah, yeah, yeah.

So what!  Everything dies.... and I'm sure my PC [or an updated version thereof] will still be kicking long after I'm gone.... and my great grandkids will be amazed and attribute its longevity to my keeping Google's crap off it.  Yes if there's a legacy that I leave behind, it'll be my dislike and distrust of Google and its stuff.

Anyhow, I'm gonna go get a tablet now..... I have a headache.

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